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1-dan master of the unyielding fist of Bayesian inference
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 | It’s early days, but the actual launch dates for flight 2 for Ariane 6 and Vulcan Centaur were close to predicted, based on Wright's Law and the industry average launch cadence learning rate. Following the same curve, New Glenn flight 2 won’t launch until September of this year. The Starship test campaign continues to accelerate at a rapid pace, with a learning rate of 52% and a current cadence of 49 days between launches. Elon has predicted weekly Starship launches by year end; this learning rate predicts a launch every three weeks by then. [link] [comments] |
Article URL: https://joe-antognini.github.io/astronomy/daylight
Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43413935
Points: 613
# Comments: 203
![[link]](https://i.redd.it/kkx5305p9pre1.png){kind=link}
Every day, researchers search for optimal solutions. They might want to figure out where to build a major airline hub. Or to determine how to maximize return while minimizing risk in an investment portfolio. Or to develop self-driving cars that can distinguish between traffic lights and stop signs. Mathematically, these problems get translated into a search for the minimum values of functions.
